Objective To investigate the association between triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and the risk of stroke in middle-aged and elderly individuals with hypertension, so as to provide more evidence for the prevention and treatment of stroke.

Methods Middle-aged and elderly hypertensive individuals who took part in all four surveys in 2011, 2013, 2015, and 2018 were selected as the research subjects based on data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Participants were divided into four groups (≤Q1， >Q1~Q2， >Q2~Q3， and >Q3) based on TyG index quartiles, and the cumulative risk of stroke in different groups was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Different Cox proportional hazards regression models were constructed to analyze the relationship between the TyG index and stroke risk. Sensitivity analysis were performed to evaluate the robustness of the results.

Results A total of 4 596 participants were included in the study. Among them, 338 individuals (7.35%) had a stroke during the 7-year follow-up period. The cumulative risk of stroke increased with higher TyG index levels. Results from the Cox regression models indicated that higher TyG levels were associated with an increased risk of stroke among middle-aged and elderly individuals with hypertension. Compared with the lowest TyG index quartile (≤Q1: TyG index ≤8.33) group, the highest quartile (>Q3: TyG index >9.17) group showed a 45.10% increased risk of stroke (HR=1.451, 95% CI:1.017‒2.072).

Conclusion A higher TyG index is associated with an increased risk of stroke in middle-aged and elderly individuals with hypertension.