20132023年江苏省丹阳市结直肠癌死亡率及早死寿命损失年变化趋势分析

Trends in mortality rate and years of life lost due to premature deaths from colorectal cancer in Danyang CityJiangsu Province2013‒2023

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析2013—2023年江苏省丹阳市户籍居民的结直肠癌死亡和疾病负担变化趋势,为制定结直肠癌防控策略提供科学依据。
    方法 收集整理2013—2023年丹阳市户籍居民结直肠癌死亡监测资料,计算粗死亡率、标化死亡率、早死寿命损失年(YLL)和YLL率。使用Joinpoint 4.9.0.1软件计算及分析粗死亡率、标化死亡率、YLL率的年度变化百分比(APC)和平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)。
    结果 2013—2023年丹阳市户籍居民结直肠癌死亡病例共1 920例,平均粗死亡率为21.75/10万,呈现逐年上升趋势(APC=6.47%,95%CI:4.21%~8.79%,P<0.001),男性高于女性;总人群标化死亡率为12.10/10万,无明显随年份变化趋势(APC=1.37%,P=0.364)。结直肠癌年龄别死亡率在45岁之后随年龄增长而上升。结直肠癌导致的YLL合计为34 711人年,平均YLL率为3.93‰。2013—2023年丹阳市结直肠癌YLL率呈上升趋势(APC=4.96%,95%CI:4.08%~18.16%,P<0.001)。
    结论 丹阳市结直肠癌死亡率较高且呈上升趋势,对居民造成的疾病负担逐年增加。应继续加强结直肠癌防控工作,尤其针对男性及高龄老年人群。

     

    Abstract:
    Objectives To analyze the trends in mortality and disease burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) among the registered residents in Danyang City, Jiangsu Province, from 2013 to 2023, and to provide a scientific basis for developing CRC prevention and control strategies.
    Methods Mortality surveillance data on CRC among the registered residents in Danyang City from 2013 to 2023 were collected and analyzed. Crude mortality rate (CMR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), years of life lost (YLL) due to premature death, and YLL rate were calculated. The annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) of CMR, ASMR and YLL rate were calculated with Joinpoint Regression Program 4.9.0.1.
    Results A total of 1 920 deaths from colorectal cancer were recorded in Danyang City during 2013‒2023, with an average annual CMR of 21.75/100 000, which showed an upward trend (APC=6.47%, 95%CI: 4.21%‒8.79%, P<0.001), with higher CMR observed in males than that in females. The overall ASMR by Chinese standard population was 12.10/100 000, with no obvious temporal trends (APC=1.37%, P=0.364). ASMR increased with age, particularly after 45 years. The total YLL due to CRC was 34 711 person-years, with an average YLL rate of 3.93‰. The YLL rate showed a significant upward trend from 2013 to 2023 (APC=4.96%, 95%CI: 4.08%‒18.16%, P<0.001) in Danyang City.
    Conclusion The mortality rate of colorectal cancer in Danyang City is relatively high and has shown a rising trend, resulting in an increasing disease burden on the residents year by year. Continued efforts to strengthen CRC prevention and control are needed, particularly targeting males and the elderly population.

     

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