赵原原, 杨念念, 代娟, 张晓霞, 严亚琼. 武汉市20142019年大气污染与居民呼吸系统疾病死亡关系研究[J]. 上海预防医学, 2022, 34(7): 629-633. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.21711
引用本文: 赵原原, 杨念念, 代娟, 张晓霞, 严亚琼. 武汉市20142019年大气污染与居民呼吸系统疾病死亡关系研究[J]. 上海预防医学, 2022, 34(7): 629-633. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.21711
ZHAO Yuanyuan, YANG Niannian, DAI Juan, ZHANG Xiaoxia, YAN Yaqiong. Association between air pollution and death from respiratory diseases in Wuhan from 2014 to 2019[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2022, 34(7): 629-633. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.21711
Citation: ZHAO Yuanyuan, YANG Niannian, DAI Juan, ZHANG Xiaoxia, YAN Yaqiong. Association between air pollution and death from respiratory diseases in Wuhan from 2014 to 2019[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2022, 34(7): 629-633. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.21711

武汉市20142019年大气污染与居民呼吸系统疾病死亡关系研究

Association between air pollution and death from respiratory diseases in Wuhan from 2014 to 2019

  • 摘要:
    目的 评估武汉市大气污染(PM2.5、PM10、SO2、NO2)与居民呼吸系统疾病死亡的关系。
    方法 收集2014—2019年武汉市逐日大气污染物浓度、气象、环保资料和居民呼吸系统疾病死亡资料,进行统计描述,并采用广义相加模型(GAM),利用非参数平滑函数控制长期趋势、气象等混杂因素,定量评估大气污染物对呼吸系统疾病的健康效应,并以超额危险度(ER)表示效应值的大小。
    结果 大气污染物对人群每日呼吸系统疾病死亡有明显影响,在最强效应期,PM2.5(lag07)、PM10(lag03)、SO2(lag03)、NO2(lag03)每升高10 μg·m-3,居民呼吸系统疾病死亡ER分别为2.803%(95%CI:2.151%~3.460%)、1.878%(95%CI:1.477%~2.281%)、10.210%(95%CI:7.922%~12.549%)、4.564%(95%CI:3.530%~5.608%)。女性对PM2.5、SO2、NO2更敏感,男性则对PM10更敏感,且不同性别ER差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);<65岁人群对PM2.5、NO2更敏感,≥65岁人群对PM10、SO2更敏感且不同年龄ER差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。
    结论 武汉市大气污染物(PM2.5、PM10、SO2、NO2)与人群呼吸系统疾病死亡存在关联,在制定当地政策时,需考虑相关敏感人群。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To determine the association between air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2) and death from respiratory diseases in Wuhan.
    Methods Daily air pollutants, meteorological data and mortality from respiratory disease between 2014 and 2019 were collected for a descriptive analysis. A time series semi-parametric generalized additive model (GAM) was used to determine the exposure-effect relationship between atmospheric pollutants and daily mortality from respiratory diseases,and the excess risk (ER) was used to quantify the effects of air pollutants on death from respiratory diseases.
    Results There was significant effect of PM2.5, PM10, SO2 and NO2 on respiratory diseases mortality. In the period with strongest effect, the ER of death from respiratory diseases were 2.803%(95%CI:2.151%‒3.460%), 1.878%(95%CI:1.477%‒2.281%), 10.210%(95%CI:7.922%‒12.549%), 4.564%(95%CI:3.530%‒5.608%), along with an incremental 10 μg·m-3 of PM2.5,PM10,SO2 and NO2, respectively. Furthermore, females were more sensitive to PM2.5, SO2 and NO2, while males were more sensitive to PM10. Residents aged less than 65 years were more sensitive to PM2.5 and NO2, and those older than 65 years were more sensitive to PM10 and SO2.
    Conclusion Air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, SO2, and NO2) in Wuhan are associated with the death from respiratory diseases. Therefore, at-risk groups should be considered for formulating local policies against air pollution.

     

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