王英鉴, 张娜, 吕涵路, 周艺彪. 上海市新型冠状病毒肺炎发病趋势初步分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2020, 32(2): 142-146. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2020.20041
引用本文: 王英鉴, 张娜, 吕涵路, 周艺彪. 上海市新型冠状病毒肺炎发病趋势初步分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2020, 32(2): 142-146. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2020.20041
WANG Ying-jian, ZHANG Na, LYU Han-lu, ZHOU Yi-biao. Preliminary analysis on the incidence trend of novel coronavirus pneumonia in Shanghai[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2020, 32(2): 142-146. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2020.20041
Citation: WANG Ying-jian, ZHANG Na, LYU Han-lu, ZHOU Yi-biao. Preliminary analysis on the incidence trend of novel coronavirus pneumonia in Shanghai[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2020, 32(2): 142-146. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2020.20041

上海市新型冠状病毒肺炎发病趋势初步分析

Preliminary analysis on the incidence trend of novel coronavirus pneumonia in Shanghai

  • 摘要:
    目的了解上海市新型冠状病毒肺炎的发病特征,分析发病趋势。
    方法收集上海市2020年1月20日-2020年2月3日的新型冠状病毒肺炎的疫情数据,进行流行病学描述性分析。
    结果1月20日-2月3日期间,累计确诊病例数与疑似病例数呈现先上升后下降的趋势,最高点日期分别在1月30日与1月29日。疑似病例和累计确诊病例的环比增长率在1月27日后呈下降趋势。在累计确诊病例中,相关确诊病例接触史的比例呈上升趋势,累计本市常住人口确诊病例数已超过累计外地来沪人口确诊病例数,浦东新区确诊病例数最多。
    结论上海市新型冠状病毒肺炎的发病趋缓,但也面临人口返城高峰的压力,应引起足够的重视。

     

    Abstract:
    ObjectiveTo investigate the epidemical characteristics and analyze the incidence trend of novel coronavirus pneumonia(NCP) in Shanghai.
    MethodsThe epidemical data on NCP in Shanghai from January 20 to February 3, 2020 were collected for epidemiological descriptive analysis.
    ResultsThe number of cumulative confirmed and suspected cases increased first and then decreased from January 20 to February 3, with the peak date being January 30 and January 29 respectively.The day-on-day growth rate of the suspected cases and the cumulative confirmed cases declined after January 27.Among the confirmed cases, the proportion of the exposure history of relevant confirmed cases was on the rise.The total number of confirmed cases of the resident population exceeded that of the population from other places to Shanghai, and Pudong new area had the largest number of confirmed cases.
    ConclusionThe incidence of NCP shows a slowdown trend in shanghai, but it also faces the pressure of the peak of population returning to city, which should be paid enough attention to.

     

/

返回文章
返回