乔冬菊, 王良友, 娄雪萍, 柴文杰, 郏超男, 李子竹, 郭颖燕, 陈潇潇. 20112018年浙江省台州市主要慢性病死亡水平及早死概率分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2022, 34(12): 1207-1213. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.22174
引用本文: 乔冬菊, 王良友, 娄雪萍, 柴文杰, 郏超男, 李子竹, 郭颖燕, 陈潇潇. 20112018年浙江省台州市主要慢性病死亡水平及早死概率分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2022, 34(12): 1207-1213. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.22174
QIAO Dongju, WANG Liangyou, LOU Xueping, CHAI Wenjie, JIA Chaonan, LI Zizhu, GUO Yingyan, CHEN Xiaoxiao. Analysis on mortality and premature death rates of four major chronic diseases in Taizhou, Zhejiang 2011‒2018[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2022, 34(12): 1207-1213. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.22174
Citation: QIAO Dongju, WANG Liangyou, LOU Xueping, CHAI Wenjie, JIA Chaonan, LI Zizhu, GUO Yingyan, CHEN Xiaoxiao. Analysis on mortality and premature death rates of four major chronic diseases in Taizhou, Zhejiang 2011‒2018[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2022, 34(12): 1207-1213. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.22174

20112018年浙江省台州市主要慢性病死亡水平及早死概率分析

Analysis on mortality and premature death rates of four major chronic diseases in Taizhou, Zhejiang 2011‒2018

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析2011—2018年浙江省台州市户籍居民4类主要慢性病(心脑血管疾病、恶性肿瘤、慢性呼吸系统疾病和糖尿病)死亡水平及早死概率的特征,为政府制定慢性病防制规划提供数据依据。
    方法 从浙江省慢性病监测信息管理系统导出2011—2018年台州市户籍居民死亡数据,分析慢性病导致死亡数在总死亡数的占比、慢性病死亡率、慢性病早死概率等指标。采用2010年全国第六次人口普查的人口构成(中标率)计算标化率。利用Joinpoint Regression Program 4.2软件计算年度变化百分比(APC)及其统计学检验结果。
    结果 2011—2018年台州市慢性病死亡231 724例,死亡率为486.52/10万,标化死亡率为381.55/10万,慢性病死亡数占总死亡数的79.89%,其中男性高于女性,农村地区高于城市地区。2011—2018年台州市心脑血管疾病、恶性肿瘤和慢性呼吸系统疾病标化死亡率及早死概率呈下降趋势(P<0.05)、糖尿病标化死亡率(P=0.46)及早死概率(P=0.22)均未下降,农村地区上述4类慢性病各年龄组死亡率高于城市地区。4类慢性病死亡率由高到低分别为心脑血管疾病、恶性肿瘤、慢性呼吸系统疾病和糖尿病,同时随着年龄增长死亡率均呈现上升趋势。2011—2018年台州市4类慢性病早死概率呈下降趋势,由2011年的13.49%降至2018年的10.49%,平均年降幅2.97%,差异有统计学意义(t=-5.83,P<0.05)。
    结论 慢性病死亡是台州市主要死亡原因,为降低慢性病死亡率应需开展慢性病的有效防控措施,特别是糖尿病的防治和男性慢性病的防治。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the characteristics of death and premature death of 4 major chronic diseases (cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, malignant tumors, chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes) in Taizhou City from 2011 to 2018,and provide data basis for the government to formulate chronic disease prevention planning.
    Methods The death data of household registration residents in Taizhou City from 2011 to 2018 were derived from the Chronic Disease Surveillance Information Management System in Zhejiang Province. The death toll ratio of chronic diseases, the mortality rate of chronic diseases, the probability of premature death of chronic diseases were analyzed. The standardization rate was calculated six times in 2010. Population composition of the census. The Joinpoint Regression Program 4.2 software was used for calculating annual percent change (APC) and its statistical test results.
    Results From 2011 to 2018, there were 231 724 chronic disease deaths in Taizhou City, with a mortality rate of 486.52/105 and a standardized mortality rate of 381.55/105. The proportion of chronic disease deaths to total deaths was 79.89%, of which males were higher than females and rural areas were higher than urban areas.From 2011 to 2018, the standardized mortality and early death probability of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, malignant tumors and chronic respiratory diseases in Taizhou showed a downward trend (P<0.05), the standardized mortality of diabetes (P=0.46) and the early death probability (P=0.22) did not decline, and the mortality of all age groups of the above four types of chronic diseases in rural areas was higher than that in urban areas. The mortality of the four types of chronic diseases from high to low are cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, malignant tumors, chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes, and the mortality tends to increase with age. From 2011 to 2018, the probability of premature death from four types of chronic diseases in Taizhou City showed a downward trend, from 13.49% in 2011 to 10.49% in 2018, with an average annual decrease of 2.97%. The difference was statistically significant (t=‒5.83,P<0.05).
    Conclusion Chronic disease death is the main cause of death in Taizhou City. In order to reduce the mortality rate of chronic diseases, effective prevention and control measures for chronic diseases should be carried out, especially the prevention and control of diabetes and male chronic diseases.

     

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