Epidemiological analysis of registered tuberculosis cases in Kashgar District， Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region from 2011 to 2020

Objective To determine the current status and characteristics of tuberculosis （TB） registration and treatment in Kashgar， and to provide scientific evidence for targeted prevention and control measures in future.

Methods Kashgar registered TB cases information in 2011 to 2020 was exported from the National Tuberculosis Management Information System. Descriptive epidemiological analysis was conducted using Stata 12.0.

Results From 2011 to 2020， number of Kashgar registered TB patients showed rising trend， followed by a falling one. Average proportion of annual decline in registered TB incidence was 40.48% from 2018 to 2020. From 2011 to 2016， number of registered TB patients in women was always higher than that in men， with a gender ratio （male ： female） of about 0.90. In 2017， the gender ratio was 1.00. From 2018 to 2020， the gender ratios were 1.05， 1.20， and 1.12， respectively. Moreover， number of registered TB cases increased with age （χ²=547.79， P<0.001）. Proportion of registered TB cases was relatively large in Shache County （16.43%‒23.64%）， Yengisar County （9.51%‒13.87%） ， Kashgar City （8.11%‒11.40%）， Yecheng County （6.98%‒13.40%） and Bachu County（4.92%‒16.65%）. Proportion of recurrent TB cases in Kashgar had increased to 27.29%， 20.77% and 28.39% in 2018， 2019 and 2020， respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that age， drug resistance， calendar year and etiological diagnosis were significantly correlated with the proportion of recurrent cases （all P<0.05）.

Conclusion Since 2018， TB incidence has decreased significantly due to the increasing efforts for identification and treatment of TB cases. However， Kashgar remains facing a high TB incidence. TB cases that are elderly， drug-resistant and positive for pathogen are susceptible to recurrent treatment. In future， targeted prevention and control measures should be improved for these groups.