Evaluation index system constructed for chronic disease prevention and control policy based on Delphi method

ObjectiveTo establish a scientific, simple and comprehensive evaluation index system for chronic disease prevention and control policy, and to offer service for chronic disease prevention and control.

MethodsIn August-September 2015, the index system framework was formulated through extensive consultion of the literature and expert discussion, and the index system was constructed by adoption of Delphi expert consultation method.

ResultsTwenty five experts majoring in health and related disciplines were invited to participate in Delphy expert consultation.The active coefficients from two rounds of expert consultation were 86.2% and 86.2% respectively; the expert authority coefficient was 0.85;and the coefficient of variation was less than 0.33.Through the two rounds of Delphi expert investigation was finally established the evaluation index system of chronic disease, including 3 primary indicators, 21 secondary indicators and 56 tertiary indicators.With 56 tertiary indicators, evaluation coordination coefficients for necessity and operation indicators were 0.307 and 0.288 respectively, which were done with chi-square test and proved significant, indicating that expert evaluations were of consistency.

ConclusionThe comprehensive policy evaluation index system for chronic disease prevention and control is established and proves to be fairly comprihensive.The experts have high enthusiasm, good authority and coordination.Their selected indicators can be used for evaluation of chronic disease prevention and control.