赵霞, 崔劲松, 张奕, 谈建国. 20142018年上海市闵行区手足口病流行特征及其与气象因子相关分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2022, 34(3): 219-222. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.21249
引用本文: 赵霞, 崔劲松, 张奕, 谈建国. 20142018年上海市闵行区手足口病流行特征及其与气象因子相关分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2022, 34(3): 219-222. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.21249
ZHAO Xia, CUI Jinsong, ZHANG Yi, TAN Jianguo. Epidemiological characteristics of handfootand mouth disease and its correlation with meteorological factors in Minhang DistrictShanghai from 2014 to 2018[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2022, 34(3): 219-222. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.21249
Citation: ZHAO Xia, CUI Jinsong, ZHANG Yi, TAN Jianguo. Epidemiological characteristics of handfootand mouth disease and its correlation with meteorological factors in Minhang DistrictShanghai from 2014 to 2018[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2022, 34(3): 219-222. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2022.21249

20142018年上海市闵行区手足口病流行特征及其与气象因子相关分析

Epidemiological characteristics of handfootand mouth disease and its correlation with meteorological factors in Minhang DistrictShanghai from 2014 to 2018

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨上海市闵行区手足口病的流行特征及气象因素对手足口病疫情的可能影响,为手足口病的防控提供依据。
    方法 收集闵行区2014—2018年手足口病发病数据进行描述性分析,对可能影响手足口病的气象因子,采用Pearson相关分析和多元线性逐步回归分析进行相关性分析。
    结果 2014—2018年,闵行区手足口病年均发病率为271.51/10万,发病率居前3位的社区为华漕镇、浦江镇和马桥镇。患者男性多于女性,0~5岁年龄组发病数最多,以散居儿童和幼托儿童为主。发病存在明显的季节性,全年流行高峰期是5—7月。多元线性逐步回归分析结果显示:手足口病的发病与周平均气压呈负相关(b=-4.32,P=0.004)、与周最低气温(b=2.62,P=0.040)和周平均相对湿度呈正相关(b=1.71,P=0.010),与周平均气温、周最高气温、周降水量、周平均气压和周平均水汽压的相关性无统计学意义(P>0.05)。
    结论 上海市闵行区手足口病的发生与气象因子有较密切的关系,做好手足口病的防治工作要采取综合性措施。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To study the epidemiological features of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in Minhang District of Shanghai and to explore the possible effects of meteorological factors on the onset of HFMD, aiming to provide a reference for the prevention and control of HFMD.
    Methods The incidence data of HFMD in Minhang District from 2014 to 2018 were collected for descriptive analysis. The data of meteorological factors that might affect HFMD were analyzed by Pearson analysis and multiple linear stepwise regression.
    Results The average incidence rate of HFMD in Minhang District from 2014 to 2018 was 271.51 per 100 000. The incidence of Huacao, Pujiang and Maqiao community were the highest. The incidence of HFMD in males was higher than in females and the 0‒5 age group had the largest number of cases, mainly in scattered children and children in kindergartens. The results of multiple linear stepwise regression analysis showed that the incidence of HFMD was negatively correlated with the weekly average air pressure (b=-4.32, P=0.004), and was positively correlated with the weekly minimum temperature (b=2.62, P=0.040) and the weekly average relative humidity (b=1.71, P=0.010). The correlation with weekly average temperature, weekly maximum temperature, weekly precipitation, weekly average air pressure and weekly average water vapor pressure was not significant.
    Conclusion Meteorological factors in Minhang District of Shanghai are closely related to the occurrence of HFMD. Comprehensive measures should be taken to prevent and control HFMD.

     

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