2022年上海市奉贤区新型冠状病毒核酸阳性者再感染风险及影响因素分析

Analysis of the risk of reinfection and influencing factors of SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid test positive individuals in Fengxian DistrictShanghai2022

  • 摘要:
    目的 通过对2022年3—5月既往新型冠状病毒(SARS-CoV-2)核酸阳性者随访调查,了解阳性者于2022年12月—2023年1月的二次感染和三次感染情况及再感染的影响因素。
    方法 分析2022年3—5月2 583例SARS-CoV-2核酸阳性者流行病学资料,并于首次核酸阳性后第8个月和第12个月分别随访。采用Pearson卡方检验比较不同特征的首阳者二次感染和三次感染率的差异;采用生存分析Kaplan⁃Meier法和Cox回归分析再感染的影响因素。
    结果 核酸阳性后第8个月回收有效问卷2 264份,回收率87.7%,二次感染率9.7%;第12个月调查分析二阳者第三次感染情况,三次感染率4.6%。二次感染距首阳中位间隔时间(P25,P75)为261(252,268) d,三次感染距第二次感染中位间隔时间(P25,P75)为135(111,157) d。性别、年龄、职业、吸烟和饮酒以及基础性疾病与二次感染风险差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。医务人员三次感染率(20.0%)高于学生/教师(14.3%)和企事业员工三次感染率(9.5%),不同职业人员三次感染率差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。职业中个体户再感染风险较企事业员工低(HR=0.52,95%CI:0.33~0.83),经性别和年龄调整后仍旧较低。有基础性疾病者二次感染的风险是无基础性疾病者的1.54倍(95%CI:1.08~2.02),经性别和年龄调整后是1.85倍(95%CI:1.25~2.75)。
    结论 随着SARS-CoV-2的不断变异,二次感染和三次感染风险不可避免。有基础性疾病和所从事职业是影响二次感染或三次感染的主要因素。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate reinfection or the third time infection with SARS-CoV-2 among the people tested for positive from December 2022 to January 2023 and the influencing factors through a follow-up survey on previous novel coronavirus nucleic acid positive individuals between March to May, 2022.
    Methods Epidemiological data of 2 583 novel coronavirus nucleic acid test positive cases were analyzed from March to May, 2022, following a follow-up survey at the 8th and 12th month after the first nucleic acid test positivity. Pearson chi-square method was used to analyze the differences of reinfection and the third time infection rates among first-positive patients with different characteristics. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of reinfection.
    Results A total of 2 264 valid questionnaires were collected in the 8th month after nucleic acid tested positive, with a recovery rate of 87.7% and a reinfection rate of 9.7%. The third time infection was investigated among the individuals infected twice at the 12th month after the first nucleic acid test positivity, with a third time infection rate of 4.6%. The median interval (P25, P75) between reinfection and the first nucleic acid test positive for the novel coronavirus was 261 (252, 268) days and the interval (P25, P75) between the third time infection and reinfection was 135 (111, 157) days. Gender, age, occupation, smoking, drinking and underlying diseases were not statistically associated with the risk of reinfection (P>0.05). However, the the third time infection rate for medical staffs (20.0%) was higher than that for student /teachers (14.3%) and corporate employees (9.5%), with a statistically significant difference in the third infection rate between different occupations (P<0.05). The risk of reinfection in self-employed individual was lower than that in corporate employees (HR=0.52, 95%CI: 0.33‒0.83), and which was still lower after adjustment for gender and age. The risk of reinfection among those with underlying diseases was 1.54 times (95%CI: 1.08‒2.02) higher than those without underlying diseases, but even 1.85 times (95%CI: 1.25‒2.75) higher after adjustment for gender and age.
    Conclusion Due to the constant mutation and variants of the novel coronavirus, the risk of reinfection and the third time infection is unavoidable. The presence of underlying diseases and occupation are the main factors influencing reinfection or third time infection.

     

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