20122023年浙江省宁波市北仑区脑卒中发病率分析

Analysis of incidence of stroke in Beilun DistrictNingbo CityZhejiang Province2012‒2023

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析北仑区脑卒中发病率及发病趋势,为寻找脑卒中影响因素,减少脑卒中发生提供依据。
    方法 收集宁波市慢性病协同管理系统中2012—2023年脑卒中发病病例,收集北仑区2012—2023年人口信息,分析各年度脑卒中发病率及发病趋势。
    结果 2012—2023年宁波市北仑区脑卒中年龄标化发病率为317.68/10万,发病率有上升趋势,平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)为2.267%(P=0.034)。2012—2023年各街道中有2个街道发病率下降,其余均为上升。男性脑卒中粗发病率高于女性(P<0.001),男性脑卒中年龄标化发病率为406.08/10万,有上升趋势,AAPC=3.956%(P<0.001)。30~<45岁组AAPC=6.340%(P=0.004)、45~<60岁组AAPC=4.997%(P<0.001)、60~<75岁组AAPC=3.282%(P=0.042)脑卒中发病率均有上升趋势。各年度男性缺血性、出血性脑卒中粗发病率均高于女性(P<0.05)。男性及全人群缺血性脑卒中的年龄标化发病率有上升趋势,男性AAPC=4.905%(P<0.001),全人群AAPC=3.065%(P=0.001)。
    结论 北仑区脑卒中标化发病率有上升趋势,男性粗发病率高于女性,脑卒中发病年龄逐渐下降,男性缺血性脑卒中标化发病率有明显上升趋势。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the incidence and trend of stroke in Beilun District, so as to provide evidence for identifying influencing factors and reducing stroke incidence.
    Methods Stroke cases from 2012 to 2023 were extracted from the Ningbo Chronic Disease Collaborative Management System. Population information of Beilun District during the same period was also collected. The annual incidence and trends of stroke were analyzed.
    Results From 2012 to 2023, the age-standardized incidence rate of stroke in Beilun District, Ningbo City was 317.68/100 000, showing an increasing trend with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 2.267% (P=0.034). Among all subdistricts in Beilun District, two showed a downward trend in incidence, while the rest showed an upward trend. The crude incidence rate of stroke was significantly higher in males than that in females (P<0.001). The age-standardized incidence rate in males was 406.08/100 000, showing an increasing trend (AAPC=3.956%, P<0.001). The incidence of stroke also showed an increasing trend in the following age groups: 30‒<45 years (AAPC=6.340%, P=0.004), 45‒<60 years (AAPC=4.997%, P<0.001), and 60‒<75 years (AAPC=3.282%, P=0.042). Across all years, males had higher crude incidence rates in both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke than females (P<0.05). The age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic stroke showed a rising trend in both males and the general population (male AAPC=4.905%, P<0.001; overall population AAPC=3.065%, P=0.001).
    Conclusion The age-standardized incidence of stroke in Beilun District is on the rise, with higher crude incidence rate in males than that in females. The onset age of stroke is gradually declining. The age-standardized incidence rate of male ischemic stroke shows a clear upward trend.

     

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