上海市松江区社区自然人群血脂水平与缺血性脑卒中复发风险的队列研究

A cohort study of lipid levels and recurrence risk of ischemic stroke in a community-based natural population in Songjiang District, Shanghai

  • 摘要:
    目的 通过分析上海市松江区社区自然人群缺血性脑卒中(IS)相关随访数据,了解IS患者复发情况并分析总胆固醇(TC)、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL‑C)、高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(HDL⁃C)、甘油三酯(TG)4项指标与IS复发风险的关联,为改善社区脑卒中患者预后,控制IS复发提供科学依据。
    方法 对社区队列人群中IS患者进行前瞻性随访,收集患者年龄、性别、疾病史、生化指标等资料,采用Cox回归模型、限制性立方样条模型分析不同血脂水平与IS患者复发的关系。
    结果 共纳入IS患者1 368例,总随访时长为7 171.46人年,中位随访时间为6.24年,IS复发患者420例,累积复发率为30.70%。多因素Cox回归分析结果显示,IS患者基线TC、LDL‑C水平分别处于4.65~5.67 mmol·L-1、2.52~3.46 mmol·L-1时复发风险降低,限制性立方样条分析结果表明基线TC、LDL‑C水平与IS患者的复发风险整体呈“U”型关系。
    结论 上海市松江区社区IS患者累积复发率较高,其基线时的TC、LDL‑C水平与患者复发之间存在关联,建议加强关注IS患者LDL‑C和TC水平,以改善患者预后。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the recurrence of ischemic stroke (IS) and to analyze the association between four indices of total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides (TG) and the risk of IS recurrence by analyzing the follow-up data related to IS in the community-based natural population of Songjiang District, Shanghai, so as to provide a scientific basis for improving the prognosis of stroke patients in the community and controlling IS recurrence.
    Methods A prospective follow-up study was conducted among the IS patients in the community-based cohort population, collecting data about patient’s age, gender, disease history, biochemical indicators, and etc. Cox regression model and restricted cubic spline model were used to analyze the relationship between different levels of plasma lipids and the recurrence of IS in these patients.
    Results A total of 1 368 patients with IS were included. The total follow-up duration was 7 171.46 person-years, with a median follow-up time of 6.24 years. There were 420 cases of IS recurrence, resulting in a cumulative recurrence rate of 30.70%. The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the recurrence risk of IS was reduced when the baseline TC and LDL-C levels of IS patients were in the ranges of 4.65‒5.67 mmol·L-1 and 2.52‒3.46 mmol·L-1, respectively. The results of restricted cubic spline analysis showed a U-shaped relationship between baseline TC and LDL-C levels and the recurrence risk in IS patients.
    Conclusion The cumulative recurrence rate of patients with IS in the community of Songjiang District in Shanghai is high, and the levels of TC and LDL-C at baseline survey are correlated with the recurrence of IS in these patients. It is suggested to pay more attention to the levels of LDL-C and TC in patients with IS, so as to improve the prognosis.

     

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