20142023年浙江省余姚市居民伤害死亡特征分析

Analysis of injury mortality characteristics among residents in Yuyao CityZhejiang Province2014‒2023

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析2014—2023年浙江省余姚市户籍居民伤害死亡特征及变化趋势,为制定有针对性的伤害防控策略提供科学依据。
    方法 收集浙江省慢性病监测管理系统死因监测模块中2014年1月1日—2023年12月31日余姚市伤害死亡病例数据,计算构成比、粗死亡率、标化死亡率、早死概率、潜在减寿年数(PYLL)、平均减寿年数(AYLL)、潜在减寿年数率(PYLLR)等指标,并用平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)分析10年间伤害死亡率变化趋势。
    结果 2014—2023年余姚市居民伤害死亡6 625例,占全死因构成10.65%,位列全死因顺位第4。粗死亡率为79.34/10万,呈上升趋势(AAPC=4.396%,t=2.875,P=0.021),标化死亡率为38.99/10万,无明显变化趋势(AAPC=-0.585%,t=-0.451,P=0.664)。女性伤害标化死亡率(37.74/10万)低于男性(40.87/10万)(χ2=12.468,P<0.001)。伤害死因顺位前5位分别为跌倒、交通事故、溺水、自杀和意外窒息。10年间,交通事故、溺水和自杀标化死亡率均随年份变化呈下降趋势(AAPC=-5.381%,t=-3.428,P=0.009;AAPC=-8.061%,t=-6.924,P<0.001;AAPC=-6.919%,t=-4.039,P=0.004),跌倒和意外窒息标化死亡率无明显变化趋势(AAPC=3.417%,t=1.767,P=0.115;AAPC=2.228%,t=0.803,P=0.445)。男性、女性和全人群伤害死亡率随年龄增长呈上升趋势(均P<0.05)。溺水、交通事故和跌倒分别是0~<15岁、15~<45岁和45~<65岁、65~<85岁和85~110岁居民首位伤害死因。伤害死亡所致PYLL为58 708.00人年,AYLL为21.23人年,PYLLR为7.36‰。
    结论 2014—2023年余姚市伤害粗死亡率仍处于较高水平,严重危害居民生命健康,跌倒、交通事故、溺水、自杀和意外窒息是防控工作重点。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the characteristics and trends of injury-related deaths among the registered residents in Yuyao City, Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2023, and to provide a scientific basis for the formulation of targeted injury prevention and control strategies.
    Methods Data on injury-related deaths in Yuyao City from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2023 were collected from the cause-of-death surveillance module of the chronic disease monitoring and management system of Zhejiang Province. Indicators including constituent ratio, crude mortality rate (CMR), standardized mortality rate (SMR), premature death probability, potential years of life lost (PYLL), average years of life lost (AYLL), and potential years of life lost rate (PYLLR) were calculated. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to analyze the trends in injury mortality over the past 10-year period.
    Results From 2014 to 2023, a total of 6 625 injury-related deaths were reported in Yuyao City, accounting for 10.65% of all deaths and ranking fourth among all causes. The CMR was 79.34/100 000 and showed an increasing trend (AAPC=4.396%, t=2.875, P=0.021), while the SMR was 38.99/100 000 with no significant trend (AAPC=-0.585%, t=-0.451, P=0.664). The SMR of females (37.74/100 000) was lower than that of males (40.87/100 000) (χ2=12.468, P<0.001). The top 5 causes of injury-related death were falls, traffic accidents, drowning, suicide, and accidental suffocation. Over the 10-year period, the SMRs for traffic accidents, drowning, and suicide showed downward trends (AAPC=-5.381%, t=-3.428, P=0.009; AAPC=-8.061%, t=-6.924, P<0.001; AAPC=-6.919%, t=-4.039, P=0.004, respectively), while the SMRs for falls and accidental suffocation showed no significant trends (AAPC=3.417%, t=1.767, P=0.115; AAPC=2.228%, t=0.803, P=0.445). Injury mortality increased with age for males, females, and the total population (all P<0.05). The leading causes of injury-related death were drowning among residents aged 0‒<15 years, traffic accidents among those aged 15‒<45 and 45‒<65 years, and falls among those aged 65‒<85 and 85‒110 years. The total PYLL due to injury was 58 708.00 person-years, the AYLL was 21.23 years, and the PYLLR was 7.36‰.
    Conclusion From 2014 to 2023, the crude mortality rate due to injuries in Yuyao City remained at a relatively high level, posing a serious threat to residents’ health and well-being. Falls, traffic accidents, drowning, suicide, and accidental suffocation are key targets for injury prevention and control work.

     

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