气温对过敏性皮肤病就诊的滞后效应

Lagged effects of ambient temperature on allergic skin diseases visits

  • 摘要:
    目的 探究日均气温对过敏性皮肤病门诊就诊人数的影响,为患者和敏感人群制定防护策略提供依据。
    方法 收集上海市第八人民医院皮肤科2017年1月1日—2019年12月31日的过敏性皮肤病就诊资料,并获取同期气象和空气污染数据,采用分布滞后非线性模型探究日均气温与过敏性皮肤病日就诊人数的暴露-滞后关系,并根据疾病类型、性别、年龄进一步进行分层分析。
    结果 2017—2019年间共收集过敏性皮肤病就诊33 155人次,高温和低温都可能增加过敏性皮肤病的就诊人数(T=-1.0 ℃,RR=2.208,P=0.043;T=29.4 ℃,RR=2.413,P=0.021)。其中慢性荨麻疹就诊主要表现为热效应,累积就诊风险在滞后14 d时达到最大(RR=4.252,95%CI为2.134~8.457)。低温和高温都可能增加湿疹就诊人次,日均气温对特应性皮炎就诊人数无影响。亚组分析结果提示,高温、低温都可能增加女性、≥60岁人群的过敏性皮肤病就诊风险。
    结论 高温和低温均可能引起过敏性皮肤病就诊人数增加,女性、年龄≥60岁的人群更为敏感。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the impact of daily mean temperature on outpatient visits for allergic skin disease (ASD) and to provide a basis for formulating protective strategies for patients and sensitive groups.
    Methods Data on ASD visits from the Department of Dermatology at Shanghai Eighth People's Hospital between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2019 were collected, along with corresponding meteorological and air pollution data. A distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was employed to examine the exposure-lag relationship between daily mean temperature and ASD visits. Stratified analyses were performed by disease type, gender, and age group.
    Results A total of 33 155 visits for ASD were recorded between 2017 and 2019. Both high and low temperatures were associated with increased ASD outpatient visits (T=-1.0 ℃, RR=2.208, P=0.043; T=29.4 ℃, RR=2.413, P=0.021). Chronic urticaria exhibited a heat effect, with the highest cumulative medical visit risk observed at a 14-day lag (RR=4.252, 95%CI: 2.134‒8.457). Both low and high temperatures increased daily outpatient visits for eczema. No association was found between daily mean temperature and the number of outpatient visits for atopic dermatitis. Subgroup analyses suggested that both high and low temperatures increased the risk of ASD visits among females and individuals aged ≥60 years.
    Conclusion Both high and low ambient temperatures are associated with increased outpatient visits for ASD with females and individuals aged ≥60 years showing higher susceptibility.

     

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