20172024年上海市宝山区百日咳流行病学及临床特征

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of pertussis in Baoshan DistrictShanghai2017‒2024

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析2017—2024年上海市宝山区百日咳流行病学及临床特征,为科学开展百日咳防控工作提供参考依据。
    方法 通过中国疾病预防控制信息系统、上海市疫苗综合管理和预防接种服务信息系统及流行病学调查(简称“流调”)随访,收集百日咳病例流行病学、临床特征及疫苗免疫资料,进行描述性流行病学分析。用Joinpoint回归分析进行发病率时间趋势分析,构建Poisson模型进行时空扫描分析。
    结果 2017—2024年宝山区共报告百日咳病例1 634例。男女性别比为1.08∶1,男性病例略多于女性;病例年龄为20 d~81岁,6~<11岁组占59.92%;病例中学生占63.34%。2017—2023年宝山区百日咳低水平散发;2024年报告发病率陡增(71.37/10万),2024年1月起报告发病率呈上升趋势,5月达到最高峰,随后呈下降趋势;发病主要集中于4—6月。2017—2023年宝山区百日咳报告发病率变化趋势无统计学意义(APC=10.039%,t=2.586,P=0.150);2024年1月起报告发病率呈上升趋势,5月达到最高峰(APC=133.641%,t=3.841,P=0.006),随后呈下降趋势(APC=-47.816%,t=2.586,P<0.001)。按照人口数量将宝山区12个街镇划分为低、中、高3个地区,3个地区的年均报告发病率分别为6.09/10万、8.19/10万和11.96/10万,报告发病率随人口数量增加而上升。时空扫描分析显示,宝山区的西南部和东北部是发病聚集区。流调随访1 520例病例,主要临床症状为咳嗽(97.63%)、咳痰(41.58%),98.13%的病例通过核酸检测阳性确诊。有接种史信息的1 475例病例中,发病前全程接种4剂百日咳疫苗的病例占83.53%,并发症发生率由高至低依次为0、1~3、4剂次组,咳嗽时间由长到短依次为0、1~3、4剂次组。
    结论 建议完善医疗机构百日咳监测体系,构建主动监测网络,重点涵盖学校和人口数量较多的地区;加强6周岁儿童百白破疫苗接种工作,进一步优化百日咳免疫策略,以降低学龄儿童发病风险。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of pertussis in Baoshan District, Shanghai from 2017 to 2024, so as to provide an evidence-based reference for optimizing prevention and control strategies.
    Methods Data on pertussis cases were collected from the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System, Shanghai Integrated Management and Immunization Service Information System, and follow-up epidemiological investigations. Descriptive epidemiological analyses were performed to analyze the epidemiological characteristics, clinical manifestations, and vaccine effectiveness. Joinpoint regression analyses were used to examine the temporal trends in incidence rates, and a Poisson model was constructed for spatiotemporal scan analyses.
    Results A total of 1 634 pertussis cases were reported in Baoshan District from 2017 to 2024, with a male-to-female ratio of 1.08∶1. More cases were observed in males than in females, with the age ranged from 20 days to 81 years. Among them, 59.92% were in the 6‒<11 years age group, and 63.34% were students. Low-level sporadic incidence persisted during 2017‒2023, followed by a sharp increase in 2024 (71.37/100 000). Starting in January 2024, the incidence rate showed an upward trend, peaking in May before declining. The majority of cases occurred between April and June. The trend in reported pertussis incidence rates in Baoshan District from 2017 to 2023 showed no statistically significant change (APC=10.039%, t=2.586, P=0.150). Incidence rate rose from January 2024, peaked in May (APC=133.641%, t=3.841, P=0.006), then declined significantly (APC=-47.816%, t=2.586, P<0.001). The 12 subdistricts of Baoshan District were divided into low, medium, and high population density areas, with an average annual reported incidence rate of 6.09/100 000, 8.19/100 000 and 11.96/100 000, respectively. The reported incidence rate increased with an increase in population density. Spatiotemporal scan analyses showed that cases clustered in the southwest and northeast of Baoshan District. Epidemiological follow-up investigations of 1 520 cases revealed that the main clinical symptoms were cough (97.63%) and sputum production (41.58%), and 98.13% of the cases were confirmed by positive nucleic-acid test results. Among the 1 475 cases with immunization records, 83.53% had completed the four-dose pertussis vaccine before onset. The complication incidence rates, from high to low, were in the 0-dose vaccination group, 1‒3-dose vaccination group and 4-dose vaccination group. The duration of cough, from long to short, was observed in the the 0-dose vaccination group, 1‒3-dose vaccination group and 4-dose vaccination group, correspondingly.
    Conclusion It is recommended to improve the pertussis surveillance system in medical institutions and establish an active monitoring network, prioritizing deployment in school settings and areas with high population density. Enhancing diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP) vaccination coverage among 6-year-old children and further optimizing the pertussis immunization strategies are essential to prevent and reduce the risk of pertussis among school-aged children.

     

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