20092022年上海市杨浦区心脑血管急性事件发病及死亡趋势分析

Trend analyses of the incidence and mortality of acute cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in Yangpu District of Shanghai from 2009 to 2022

  • 摘要:
    目的 了解上海市杨浦区2009—2022年心脑血管急性事件的发病和死亡流行趋势,以提供心脑血管事件防控依据。
    方法 数据来自上海市心脑血管急性事件监测平台。收集杨浦区户籍人口2009—2022年心脑血管事件的(年龄组、性别)发病、死亡情况,采用Joinpoint 4.9回归模型计算急性心脑血管事件发病率和死亡率平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)。
    结果 2009—2022年杨浦区心脑血管急性事件粗发病率和标化发病率变化趋势无统计学意义(AAPC=1.41%,P=0.569;AAPC=-1.03%,P=0.675),2009—2022年杨浦区心脑血管急性事件粗死亡率变化趋势无统计学意义(AAPC=-3.04%,P=0.213),而标化死亡率呈下降趋势(AAPC=-6.23%,P=0.014);2009—2022年杨浦区心脑血管急性事件男、女性粗发病率和标化发病率变化趋势无统计学意义,男、女性粗死亡率变化趋势无统计学意义,而标化死亡率呈下降趋势(AAPC=-5.33%,P=0.029;AAPC=-7.50%,P=0.006),男性发病率、标化发病率均高于女性;30~、40~、45~岁年龄组粗发病率逐年上升(AAPC=9.13%、7.11%、4.67%,均P=0.001),60~、65~、70~、75~、80~、85~岁年龄组死亡率逐年下降(AAPC=-4.24%,P=0.044;AAPC=-5.41%,P=0.028;AAPC=-6.73%,P=0.004;AAPC=-7.46%,P=0.002;AAPC=-8.24%,P=0.002;AAPC=-6.16%,P=0.035)。
    结论 2009—2022年杨浦区心脑血管事件发病率、标化发病率和死亡率趋于平稳,标化死亡率呈下降趋势,男性、中青年是心脑血管疾病防治的重点人群,继续提高医疗急救能力和加大医防融合。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To understand the incidence and mortality trends of acute cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in Yangpu District of Shanghai from 2009 to 2022, and provide a basis for the prevention and control of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events.
    Methods Data were obtained from the Shanghai Acute Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events Surveillance Platform. Data on the incidence and mortality of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in the population (age group, gender) from 2009 to 2022 were collected, and the Joinpoint Regression Program version 4.9 was used to calculate the average annual percent change (AAPC) in the incidence and mortality rates of acute cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events.
    Results From 2009 to 2022, the crude incidence and standardized incidence rate of acute cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in Yangpu District showed no significant changes (AAPC=1.41%, P=0.569; AAPC=-1.03%, P=0.675), the crude mortality rate of acute cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in Yangpu District did not change significantly (AAPC=-3.04%, P=0.213), while the standardized mortality rate showed a decreasing trend (AAPC=-6.23% P=0.014). From 2009 to 2022, the crude incidence rates and age-standardized incidence rates for both males and females in Yangpu District showed no significant changes. The crude mortality trends for both genders were not significant, while the age-standardized mortality rates showed a decline (AAPC=-5.33%, P=0.029; AAPC=-7.50%, P=0.006). The incidence rate and age-standardized incidence rate were higher in males than in females. The crude incidence rates in the 30‒, 40‒, and 45‒year-old age groups increased annually (AAPC=9.13%、7.11%、4.67%, all P=0.001), and the crude mortality ratse in the 60‒, 65‒, 70‒, 75‒, 80‒, and 85‒year-old age groups declined annually (AAPC=-4.24%, P=0.044; AAPC=-5.41%, P=0.028; AAPC=-6.73%, P=0.004; AAPC=-7.46%, P=0.002; AAPC=-8.24%, P=0.002; AAPC=-6.16%, P=0.035).
    Conclusion From 2009 to 2022, the crude incidence, standardized incidence rate and crude mortality rate of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in Yangpu District tended to be stable, and the standardized mortality rate showed a downward trend. Men, middle-aged and young people were the key groups in the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and it should be continued to improve the ability of medical emergency and increase the integration of medical and prevention.

     

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