2017—2023年河北省邯郸市脑卒中对期望寿命的影响

Impact of stroke on life expectancy in Handan City of Hebei Province from 2017 to 2023

  • 摘要: 【目的】 分析2017—2023年河北省邯郸市居民脑卒中死亡趋势,评估其对期望寿命的影响,为政府制定脑卒中防治策略提供数据支撑。【方法】 收集邯郸市2017—2023年脑卒中死因监测数据,计算脑卒中的粗死亡率、标化死亡率、分性别粗死亡率及分亚型粗死亡率。采用平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)分析脑卒中死亡率的时间变化趋势。应用Arriaga分解法估计各年龄及不同亚型脑卒中死亡率的变化对期望寿命的影响。【结果】 2017—2023年邯郸市脑卒中标化死亡率在63.51/10万~103.54/10万,呈下降趋势(AAPC=-7.46%,P<0.001)。脑卒中死亡率的变化对期望寿命的增长呈现“正向贡献”,贡献了0.94岁;65~69岁年龄组对期望寿命增长的正向贡献最大,为0.23岁。出血性脑卒中、缺血性脑卒中及未分类脑卒中死亡率下降对期望寿命的贡献率分别为19.94%、14.61%、0.44%。出血性脑卒中和缺血性脑卒中对期望寿命正向贡献最大的均为65~69岁年龄组,贡献率分别为4.90%和3.57%;未分类脑卒中对期望寿命正向贡献最大的是≥85岁年龄组,贡献率为0.08%。【结论】 2017—2023年邯郸市脑卒中标化死亡率呈下降趋势,这一变化对期望寿命的增长起到了积极作用。但仍需加强对脑卒中的预防与控制,尤其是男性、60岁及以上年龄组人群,同时也需要关注出血性脑卒中及缺血性脑卒中的不同危险因素对期望寿命的影响。

     

    Abstract: Objective To analyze the trend of stroke mortality among residents in Handan City of Hebei Province from 2017 to 2023, evaluate its impact on life expectancy, and provide data support for the government to formulate stroke prevention and control strategies. Methods Stroke mortality surveillance data were collected in Handan City from 2017 to 2023. The crude mortality rate, standardized mortality rate, gender-specific mortality rate, and subtype-specific mortality rate of stroke were calculated. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to analyze the trend of stroke mortality. Arriaga’s decomposition method was used to estimate the influence of stroke mortality on life expectancy across all age groups and different stroke subtypes. Results The standardized mortality rate of stroke in Handan City fluctuated from 63.51/105 to 103.54/105 from 2017 to 2023, showing a significant decreasing trend (AAPC=-7.46%,P<0.001). The changes of strokes mortality contributed 0.94 years to the life expectancy growth. The positive contribution from the 65 to 69 years old group was the greatest, with a contribution of 0.23 years. The declines in the mortality rates of hemorrhagic stroke, ischemic stroke and unclassified stroke contributed 19.94%, 14.61% and 0.44% to life expectancy, respectively. The positive contribution in the 65 to 69 years old group was the greatest, with a contribution of 4.90% and 3.57% for hemorrhagic stroke and ischemic stroke, respectively. The 85 ages old and above group made the greatest positive contribution to life expectancy for unclassified stroke, with a contribution rate of 0.08%. Conclusion The standardized mortality rate of stroke in Handan City showed a declining trend from 2017 to 2023, which positively contributed to the increase of life expectancy. However, it is still suggested to strengthen the prevention and control of stroke, especially for men and people aged 60 years old and above. At the same time, attention should also be paid to the impact of different risk factors for hemorrhagic stroke and ischemic stroke on life expectancy.

     

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