2020—2024年浙江省宁波市北仑区户籍居民肺癌发病和死亡现况

Incidence and mortality of lung cancer in Beilun District of Ningbo City in Zhejiang Province from 2020 to 2024

  • 摘要:目的】 分析2020—2024年浙江省宁波市北仑区户籍居民肺癌的发病与死亡情况,为肺癌的防治策略提供科学依据。【方法】 本研究基于2020—2024年北仑区户籍居民肿瘤发病和死亡监测数据,按性别和年龄分别计算肺癌粗发病率、粗死亡率、中标发病率和中标死亡率,同时采用Joinpoint 4.8.0.1软件分析肺癌发病与死亡变化趋势,计算肺癌发病率和死亡率的平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)。【结果】 2020—2024年北仑区累计报告肺癌发病3 496例(粗发病率157.15/10万、标化发病率106.28/10万)、死亡1 077例(粗死亡率48.42/10万、标化死亡率26.00/10万) ;男性粗发病率(164.83/10万)、粗死亡率(73.97/10万)均高于女性(分别为150.06/10万和24.70/10万)(χ2=4.60,P=0.032;χ2=280.81,P<0.001)。肺癌发病和死亡的年龄均呈上升趋势(AAPC=1.53%、0.46%,P=0.002、0.047),发病率、死亡率也随年龄增长呈上升趋势且分别在70~74岁组(452.62/10万)、80~84岁组(402.63/10万)达到顶峰。同时分年龄组分析显示,仅有50~54岁组的发病率及60~64岁和70~74岁组的死亡率随年代变化呈下降趋势(AAPC=-13.03%、-11.12%、-4.46%,P=0.038、0.048、0.031) ,其余年龄组均未见变化趋势。【结论】 北仑区居民肺癌发病水平较高,疾病负担重且未呈现明显的年度下降趋势,防控挑战大。政府应通过强化男性控烟与职业防护,制定老年患者个性化诊疗方案,开展女性厨房健康行动与被动吸烟干预及完善肿瘤登记随访系统等措施,实现分性别、分年龄的肺癌精准防控。

     

    Abstract: Objective To analyze the incidence and mortality of lung cancer in Beilun District of Ningbo City in Zhejiang Province from 2020 to 2024, and provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control strategies of lung cancer. Methods This study was based on the tumor incidence and mortality surveillance data of Beilun District from 2020 to 2024. The crude incidence rate, crude mortality rate, age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate of lung cancer were calculated by gender and age. The JoinPoint software was used to analyze the changing trends of lung cancer incidence and mortality, and the average annual percent change (AAPC) of lung cancer incidence and mortality was calculated. Results From 2020 to 2024, a total of 3 496 cases of lung cancer were reported in Beilun District of Zhejiang Province (crude incidence rate 157.15/100 000, age-standardized incidence rate 106.28/100 000), and 1 077 deaths were recorded (crude mortality rate 48.42/100 000, age-standardized mortality rate 26.00/100 000). The crude incidence rate (164.83 per 100 000) and crude mortality rate (73.97 per 100 000) for males were both higher than those for females (150.06 per 100 000 and 24.70 per 100 000, respectively) (χ2 = 4.60, P=0.032; χ2 = 280.81, P<0.001). The average age of lung cancer onset and mortality showed upward trends (AAPC = 1.53%, 0.46%; t = 10.23, 3.27; P=0.002, 0.047). The incidence and mortality rates increased with age and peaked in the 70-74 age group (452.62/100 000) and the 80- 84 age group (402.63/100 000), respectively. Age-group analysis showed that only the incidence rate in the 50-54 age group and the mortality rates in the 60-64 and 70-74 age groups exhibited a downward trend over time (AAPC = -13.03%, -11.12%, -4.46%, P = 0.038, 0.048, 0.031), while no such trends were observed in other age groups. Conclusion The incidence of lung cancer among residents in Beilun District is relatively high, with a heavy disease burden and no obvious annual downward trend, presenting significant challenges in prevention and control. The government should implement measures including strengthening tobacco control and occupational protection for men, formulating personalized treatment plans for elderly patients, launching kitchen health campaigns and passive smoking intervention for women, and improving the tumor registration and follow-up system to achieve precise prevention and control of lung cancer by gender and age.

     

/

返回文章
返回