钱耐思, 陈蕾, 方博, 虞慧婷, 乔佳颖, 晋珊, 李琦, 王春芳. 应用APC方法分析老年性痴呆死亡率性别差异的趋势[J]. 上海预防医学, 2023, 35(2): 132-136. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2023.22312
引用本文: 钱耐思, 陈蕾, 方博, 虞慧婷, 乔佳颖, 晋珊, 李琦, 王春芳. 应用APC方法分析老年性痴呆死亡率性别差异的趋势[J]. 上海预防医学, 2023, 35(2): 132-136. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2023.22312
QIAN Naisi, CHEN Lei, FANG Bo, YU Huiting, QIAO Jiaying, JIN Shan, LI Qi, WANG Chunfang. Trend and gender difference of mortality rate of senile dementia: based on the method of annual percent change[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2023, 35(2): 132-136. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2023.22312
Citation: QIAN Naisi, CHEN Lei, FANG Bo, YU Huiting, QIAO Jiaying, JIN Shan, LI Qi, WANG Chunfang. Trend and gender difference of mortality rate of senile dementia: based on the method of annual percent change[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2023, 35(2): 132-136. DOI: 10.19428/j.cnki.sjpm.2023.22312

应用APC方法分析老年性痴呆死亡率性别差异的趋势

Trend and gender difference of mortality rate of senile dementia: based on the method of annual percent change

  • 摘要:
    目的 了解2002—2018年上海市户籍老年性痴呆死亡率的性别差异特点及其趋势,从公共卫生的角度出发为老年性痴呆疾病发生前后制定相应的预防及干预措施提供理论依据。
    方法 收集2002—2018年上海市户籍死亡资料,对国际疾病分类第10版(ICD⁃10)编码范围为F03、G30.0、G30.1、G30.8、G30.9的老年性痴呆死因进行性别特征分析。按照世界标准人口标化率(ASR)计算老年性痴呆标化死亡率,采用卡方检验比较分析两性别间死亡率的差异,并用Joinpoint线性回归分析死亡率随时间变化的趋势。
    结果 上海市2002—2018年期间年均老年性痴呆粗死亡率为5.46/10万,男性3.50/10万,女性7.43/10万。总体标化死亡率为2.61/10万,男性1.67/10万,女性3.56/10万。17年间老年性痴呆标化死亡率呈现下降趋势[APC=-5.5(-6.5,-4.5)%,P<0.01];男性老年性痴呆标化死亡率呈现下降趋势[APC=-4.9(-6.2,-3.6)%,P<0.01];女性老年性痴呆标化死亡率呈现下降趋势[APC=-5.9(-6.9,-4.9)%,P<0.01];男性与女性老年性痴呆标化死亡差异随时间呈现下降趋势[APC=-6.8(-8.2,-5.3)%,P<0.01]。女性老年性痴呆死亡率高于男性(χ2=33.63,P<0.01)。
    结论 上海市户籍老年性痴呆死亡率女性明显高于男性,男女老年性痴呆标化死亡差异随时间呈现下降趋势。性别间的差异值得引起重视。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the characteristics of gender difference and the trend of the mortality rate of senile dementia in registered population in Shanghai from year 2002 to 2018, and to provide the basis for formulating relative intervention measures before and after senile dementia from an public-health view.
    Methods Based on the collected data of death registration, focused on the senile dementia disease codes F03,G30.0,G30.1,G30.8,G30.9 according to The International Classification of Diseases 10th revision (ICD-10). We analyzed the characteristics of gender difference in the mortality rate of senile dementia in registered population in Shanghai from year 2002 to 2018. According to ASR, we calculated the standardized mortality rate of senile dementia, and used the chi-square test to compare the difference between the gender mortality rates. The trend and the turning point of the mortality rate of senile dementia were determined by linear regression analysis by Join-point.
    Results The crude mortality rate of senile dementia in the registered population in Shanghai from year 2002 to 2018 was 5.46/105, 3.50/105 in males and 7.43/105 in females. The standardized mortality rate of senile dementia was 2.61/105, 1.67/105 in males and 3.56/105 in females. The trend of the standardized mortality rate of senile dementia in 17 years decreased [APC=-5.5(-6.5,-4.5)%,P<0.01]. The trend of the standardized mortality rate of senile dementia decreased in both males [APC=-4.9(-6.2,-3.6)%,P<0.01] and females [APC=-5.9(-6.9,-4.9)%,P<0.01]. The trend of the gender difference decreased [APC=-6.8(-8.2,-5.3)%,P<0.01]. The mortality rate of senile dementia was higher in females than in males [(χ2=33.63,P<0.01)].
    Conclusion The mortality rate of senile dementia in females is higher than in males in Shanghai, though the trend of the gender difference decreased. This gender difference is worth of attention.

     

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