戴霄天, 李彦玲, 丁晓沧. 上海市静安区老年人缺乏身体活动对脑卒中和冠心病发病及健康期望寿命的影响[J]. 上海预防医学, 2016, 28(10): 724-727.
引用本文: 戴霄天, 李彦玲, 丁晓沧. 上海市静安区老年人缺乏身体活动对脑卒中和冠心病发病及健康期望寿命的影响[J]. 上海预防医学, 2016, 28(10): 724-727.
DAI Xiao-tian, LI Yan-lin, DING Xiao-cang. Impact of physical inactivity on the incidence of stroke, coronary heart disease, and disability free life expectancy among the elderly in Jing'an District, Shanghai[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2016, 28(10): 724-727.
Citation: DAI Xiao-tian, LI Yan-lin, DING Xiao-cang. Impact of physical inactivity on the incidence of stroke, coronary heart disease, and disability free life expectancy among the elderly in Jing'an District, Shanghai[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2016, 28(10): 724-727.

上海市静安区老年人缺乏身体活动对脑卒中和冠心病发病及健康期望寿命的影响

Impact of physical inactivity on the incidence of stroke, coronary heart disease, and disability free life expectancy among the elderly in Jing'an District, Shanghai

  • 摘要: 目的 了解2002-2011年间上海市静安区社区老年人群缺乏身体活动的程度及变化特征,定量分析脑卒中和冠心病发病归因于缺乏身体活动的疾病负担,预估合理身体活动带来的健康期望寿命增益。方法 通过上海静安区老年人健康期望寿命研究数据,了解老年人群缺乏身体活动的程度及变化特征。通过世界卫生组织比较风险评估(CRA)项目得到脑卒中和冠心病归因于缺乏身体活动的相对危险度(RR),采用比较风险评估方法学,计算人群归因分值(PAF)。在静安区健康期望寿命研究成果的基础上,预估参与身体活动后健康期望寿命增长年。结果 2002-2011年,上海市静安区老年人缺乏身体活动的暴露水平逐年减少,归因于缺乏身体活动的脑卒中和冠心病发病负担呈下降趋势,分别为脑卒中13.80%(9.16%~21.43%)、冠心病16.83%(11.19%~26.76%)。在消除缺乏身体活动这一因素后,预期能为人群带来0.94(0.11~2.70)年和0.65(0.11~1.91)年的健康期望寿命增益。结论 增加身体活动可减低老年人脑卒中、冠心病的发病风险,延长健康期望寿命,获得健康效益。

     

    Abstract: Objective To understand the epidemiological characteristics of physical inactivity among the elderly in Jing'an District during 2002-2011; to quantify the burden of stroke and coronary heart disease attributable to physical inactivity; and to estimate the benefits in disability free life expectancy (DFLE) from reasonable physical activity. Methods To understand the epidemiological characteristics of physical inactivity among the elderly in Jing'an District, through analyzing DFLE data. To obtain relative risk (RR) of stoke and coronary heart disease attributable to physical inactivity, via World Health Organization (WHO) Comparative Risk Assessment (CRA) project. To calculate population attributable fractions (PAFs) using CRA methodology. To estimate the increase of DFLE attributable to physical activity, based on the results of Jing'an District DFLE research. Results From 2002 to 2011, the prevalence of physical inactivity and the incidence of stroke and coronary heart disease associated with physical inactivity among the elderly in Jing'an District presented a downward trend, i.e. incidence of stroke at 13.80% (range 9.16%-21.43%) and that of coronary heart disease at 16.83% (11.19%-26.76%). With the elimination of physical inactivity, DFLE is expected to increase by 0.94 (0.11-2.70) years from stroke and 0.65 (0.11-1.91) years from coronary heart disease. Conclusion Increase of physical activity could reduce the incidence of stroke and coronary heart disease among the elderly, increase DFLE, and gain health benefits.

     

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