方博, 韩明, 杨青, 靳文正. 上海市郊区1974—2007年恶性肿瘤死亡分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2011, 23(1): 1-3.
引用本文: 方博, 韩明, 杨青, 靳文正. 上海市郊区1974—2007年恶性肿瘤死亡分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2011, 23(1): 1-3.
FANG Bo, HAN Ming, YANG Qing, JIN Wen-zheng. Cancer mortality in Shanghai suburbs in 1974-2007[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2011, 23(1): 1-3.
Citation: FANG Bo, HAN Ming, YANG Qing, JIN Wen-zheng. Cancer mortality in Shanghai suburbs in 1974-2007[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2011, 23(1): 1-3.

上海市郊区1974—2007年恶性肿瘤死亡分析

Cancer mortality in Shanghai suburbs in 1974-2007

  • 摘要: 目的 分析1974-2007年上海市郊区恶性肿瘤死亡情况,了解30年中恶性肿瘤死亡的变化趋势。方法 收集1974-2007年上海市死因登记报告系统的郊区恶性肿瘤死亡病例个案资料,分析其死亡趋势及主要恶性肿瘤死亡情况。结果 1974-2007年上海市郊区老龄人口呈现逐年增加趋势,2007年上海市郊区>65岁老龄人口为107.77万人,是1974年(29.23万)的3.69倍;2007年上海市郊区老龄系数达到14.23%,是1974年(5.74%)的2.48倍;从1985年起,老龄系数即超过7%的老龄化社会标准。1974-2007年上海市郊区恶性肿瘤粗死亡率呈显著上升趋势,2007年上海市郊区恶性肿瘤粗死亡率(213.78/10万)是1974年(110.23/10万)的1.94倍;老龄系数与恶性肿瘤死亡率之间有明显线性相关关系。结论 1974-2007年上海郊区恶性肿瘤标化死亡率表现出平稳下降趋势,但由于上海市老龄程度的不断提高,死亡率仍保持显著上升趋势,说明老龄人口比例增加是恶性肿瘤粗死亡率逐年增加的主要因素之一。随着人口老龄化社会的到来,以恶性肿瘤为主的肿瘤已成为危害人群健康特别是中老年人群健康的主要慢性疾病,应针对上海市的典型老龄化人口特征,结合老年人各部位肿瘤的发病特点,确定肿瘤防治、危险因素研究的重点和对策。

     

    Abstract: Objective To analyze cancer mortality in Shanghai suburbs from 1974 to 2007, and provide evidence for cancer prevention and control.Methods Data were analyzed from Death Registration and Reporting system of cancer deaths reported during 1974-2007 in Shanghai suburbs. And the trend and situation of cancer mortality in Shanghai suburbs were analyzed.Results During 1974-2007, the aging population in Shanghai suburbs increased every year. There was 107.77 million people aged over 65 years old in 2007, 3.69 times that in 1974 (29.23 million). Aging coefficient in Shanghai suburbs was 14.23% in 2007, 2.48 times that in 1974 (5.74%). Since 1985, the aging coefficient has exceeded that for the aging population standard (7%). From 1974 to 2007, the crude death rate of cancer in Shanghai suburbs was significantly increased, which in 2007 (213.78/10 million) was 1.94 times that in 1974 (110.23/10 million). Aging coefficient and cancer mortality showed significant linear correlation, indicating that increase in the proportion of the elderly population was one of the major factors for increase in cancer mortality.Conclusion The standardized mortality of cancer was decreased steadily in Shanghai suburbs during 1974-2007. Owing to the increase of aging level in Shanghai, the mortality rate remains significantly increased. With the arrival of aging society, as the malignant tumor has become the major chronic disease endangering human health, especially in the elderly population, we should determine our focus and strategy on risk factor research, cancer prevention and treatment, aiming at Shanghai's typical aging population characteristics and combining the clinical characteristics of cancer occurring in each body part of the elderly people.

     

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